In a previous Substack, I took the top 18 and bottom 18 nations in terms of COVID jab rates per 100 people, and charted their average daily excess death per million (DEDpM) from May 2021 to May 2022.
In this follow-up analysis, I extend the sample sizes to the top and bottom 25 nations, and I attach the time-window of follow-up to the date of the vaccine rollout in each nation — looking forward in time for 350 days after the rollout.
Some caution is warranted in interpretation, because these data come from The Economist by way of the OWID website (cited below), and sometimes wide confidence intervals were around the central estimates that are used here:
[click on the image above to enlarge it]
Acknowledging imprecision in the estimates, there is still a general trend of increasing excess daily death as a nation jabs its citizens with more and more COVID injections.
If adjustments or corrections are made — such as removing Afghanistan due to it being in recent turmoil, and imputing unrecorded excess deaths in Gibraltar (which stopped reporting mortality back in January of 2021) — then the trend gets worse.
Evidence in 50 nations of the world suggests that higher COVID jab rates lead to higher excess death rates.
Reference
[CNN’s Global Vaccine Tracker site] — CNN. https://www.cnn.com/interactive/2021/health/global-covid-vaccinations/
[Excess death per 100,000 and excess death per million] — OWID. https://ourworldindata.org/excess-mortality-covid