A half-million Measles Cases
Post #1249
RETRACTION: As explained in this follow-up, inference from the data below has proved to be invalid. In short, the journal had stopped reporting measles deaths.
In this prior report, I made a promise to readers that I would look and look and look, until I found a death from measles in England & Wales. In this update, I have to report that I have not yet been able to keep my promise — but it is not for a lack of trying. I tripled the number of measles cases I was looking at, but failed to find a death yet:
We are now up to 512,551 measles cases in England & Wales before the measles vaccine became available there — and not yet one single death. Because outfits like WHO and others make claims that from 1-to-3 deaths occur per thousand cases of measles, it is imperative that I find at least one measles death in England & Wales.
NOTE: I looked for two extra weeks past the cases in order to find any deaths.
This is so that I have something to go on, in order to show the discrepancy between what the outfits like WHO say, and the historic reality-on-the-ground. I still hold true to my original promise though. I will find a single official measles death in England & Wales prior to the measles vaccine, I just have not been able to find one yet.
Using the Rule-of-Three mentioned in the prior report — where you go ahead and assume 3 events (i.e., 3 deaths) under situations with zero events in them — then the upper bound of case fatality of measles using the 512,551 cases above is:
1 measles death per 171,000 measles cases
Here is one of the weekly reports which shows 24,000 measles cases in England and Wales and zero measles deaths in England & Wales:
[click image to enlarge]
Reference
BMJ
Search Page
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc
Wk ending 27 oct 1962
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC1926588/?page=2
Wk ending 3 nov 1962
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC1926703/
Wk ending 10 nov 1962
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC1926742/
Wk ending 17 nov 1962
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC1927057/?page=2
Wk ending 24 nov 1962
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC1926823/
Wk ending 1 dec 1962
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC1926931/?page=2
Wk ending 8 dec 1962 <---------------last issue called Vital Statistics
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC1926966/?page=2
Wk ending 15 dec 1962 <------------------first issue called Epidemiology
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2123084/?page=2
Wk ending 22 dec 1962
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2122591/
Wk ending 29 dec 1962
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2123363/?page=2
Wk ending 5 jan 1963
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2123674/
Wk ending 12 jan 1963
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2123790/?page=2
Wk ending 19 jan 1963
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2123799/
Wk ending 26 jan 1963
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2123964/?page=3
or possibly updated to ...
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2124013/
Wk ending 2 feb 1963
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2123426/?page=2
Wk ending 9 feb 1963
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2123524/?page=2
Wk ending 16 feb 1963
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2123199/?page=2
Wk ending 23 feb 1963
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2123216/?page=2
Wk ending 2 mar 1963
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2122671/?page=2
Wk ending 9 mar 1963
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2122680/?page=2
Wk ending 16 mar 1963
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2122811/?page=2
Wk ending 23 mar 1963
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2122846/?page=2
Wk ending 30 mar 1963
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2122939/?page=2
Wk ending 6 apr 1963
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2123002/?page=2
Wk ending 13 apr 1963
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2123559/?page=2
Wk ending 20 apr 1963
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2123285/?page=2
Wk ending 27 apr 1963
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2123921/?page=2
Wk ending 4 may 1963
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2124024/?page=2
Wk ending 11 may 1963
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2124121/?page=2
Wk ending 18 may 1963
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2124165/?page=2
Wk ending 25 may 1963
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2124283/?page=3
Wk ending 1 jun 1963 ←—— last week for cases and deaths
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2124331/?page=2
Wk ending 8 jun 1963 ←—— looked only for deaths (found none)
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2124440/?page=2
Wk ending 14 jun 1963 ←—— looked only for deaths (found none)
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC1872134/