[Part 3]
Next up, is Singapore …
Singapore (pre-vaccine)
There was nothing even remotely resembling a COVID crisis in Singapore before vaccines rolled out there. The accumulated excess deaths were running more negative with each passing day. The year of 2020 was proving to be much safer than years prior.
Singapore (post-vaccine)
Singapore is an outlier among the 23 regions of the world which are examined by this 3-part report. After their 29 Dec 2020 rollout of vaccines, their excess deaths didn’t then embark on a long and steep rise, as has been a common finding in other regions after they rolled out their vaccines.
Because vaccine uptake levels of between 40 doses per 100 people and up to at least 140 doses per 100 people are associated with rising excess death, I checked the vaccine uptake levels for Singapore and found that they hit the “40 doses per 100” mark on 19 Apr 2021 (right before the red “excess death” line bends upward).
This helps confirm that the reason that excess deaths didn’t rise right after the vaccine rollout is because the Singapore vaccine coverage was only growing slowly.
The USA, for example, hit “40 doses per 100” on March 18, and Singapore didn’t overtake the USA in terms of vaccine uptake levels until July 1 — a time when its own excess death was on that characteristic rise in death which coincides with increasing vaccine coverage.
The saving grace for Singapore is that, even with a surge in excess death after the vaccine coverage grew, they are still well below the level of crisis (670 excess deaths per million) — a constant level which had been established in the earlier parts of this report.
Next up, is Slovakia …
Slovakia (pre-vaccine)
Slovakia is one of the few regions which had a COVID crisis (670/M) by the time that their vaccine rolled out, though rising excess death, just as in other cases, began only a few-to-several weeks before the vaccines rolled out.
They also had that characteristic dip in excess death prior to COVID.
Slovakia (post-vaccine)
After vaccines rolled out in Slovakia, the accumulation of excess death was almost 4 times higher than that found before vaccines.
Slovakia is one of the 4 regions reviewed here — all in or near Eastern Europe — which had so much excess death after vaccines rolled out, that it was more than 4 times the excess death found from the pandemic Asian Flu of 1957, where 670 excess deaths per million had been found.
They each had an astonishing “four pandemics”-worth of excess death after vaccines rolled out.
Next up, is South Africa …
South Africa (pre-vaccine)
Like in other regions, South Africa had a dip in excess death before it had a rise in COVID death. A disturbing, but admittedly untested, hypothesis about that was outlined in prior parts of this report — i.e., the possibility of “saving up” actual deaths so as to be reported as “COVID deaths” later on (to effectively “pad the account” of recorded death).
The vaccine rollout in South Africa was later than most (15 Feb 2021), but in the few weeks before rolling out vaccines, excess death increased all the way to twice a “crisis level.”
South Africa (post-vaccine)
As you can tell from the nonstop, though undulating, rise in excess death in South Africa — which didn’t finally level-off until the beginning of 2022 — an additional 3 “crisis levels” of excess death accumulated after vaccines rolled out.
That’s approximately 50% more excess after vaccines than before them.
Next up, is South Korea …
South Korea (pre-vaccine)
There was nothing even remotely resembling a COVID crisis in South Korea before vaccines rolled out there on 24 Feb 2021.
In the days before the vaccine rolled out, the accumulation of excess death was very negative, meaning that the previous 14 months from Jan 2020 to Feb 2021 were safer (less than expected death) than prior periods.
From Jan 2020 to Feb 2021, South Korea was accumulating less death than expected, indicating that things were going well and that there was no hint of a national medical crisis.
South Korea (post-vaccine)
A short time after vaccines rolled out in South Korea, excess deaths began rising — but even up to 28 Feb 2022, the excess deaths were far below crisis-level.
Next up, is Sri Lanka …
Sri Lanka (pre-vaccine)
Sri Lanka data are exceptional in that they are all merely estimated, rather than observed, measured, or recorded. This is shown by the presence of the gray uncertainty bars which extend all the way back to January of 2020.
With that in mind, we can still refer to where these estimates lead, though the evidence is not as final as in other regions reported above.
Given that hardly any COVID deaths were recorded all the way up to the days before vaccines rolled out, we can surmise that, in Sri Lanka, nothing even remotely resembling a COVID crisis had existed prior to the vaccine rollout.
Sri Lanka (post-vaccine)
Shortly after vaccines rolled out in Sri Lanka on 25 Jan 2021, excess deaths were estimated to begin rising (for the first time ever), eventually reaching more than two “crisis levels” of excess death, all occuring after vaccines had rolled out.
Next up, is Thailand …
Thailand (pre-vaccine)
There was nothing even remotely resembling a COVID crisis in Thailand before vaccines rolled out there. Vaccines didn’t roll out in Thailand until 27 Feb 2021 — the latest date of all 23 regions examined in this report.
The flat black line shows that COVID death was essentially absent for the 14 months from Jan 2020 to Feb 2021, though the accumulated excess deaths had peaks and valleys that end up at zero (deaths by 25 Feb 2021 were exactly what had been expected after examining deaths in years prior to 2020).
Thailand (post-vaccine)
After vaccines rolled out in Thailand, excess deaths embarked on a long and steep rise, even passing “crisis level” death at the end of the year.
To recap, the accumulation of excess death, for the 14 months up to the day before vaccines, was essential “zero” (it was actually “25” then) — and the accumulation of excess death after the vaccine rollout was 63,766.
That’s 2500 times as much excess death which had accumulated by the day before vaccines rolled out, though it is admittedly easy to get extreme comparison numbers when using a baseline accumulation of excess death which was only at 25 before vaccines.
Last up, is Ukraine …
Ukraine (pre-vaccine)
Ukraine has the characteristic dip in excess death prior to COVID deaths, and is also one of the few regions covered here which had a COVID crisis before vaccines rolled out.
By 21 Sep 2020, the accumulation of excess death in Ukraine was still negative, indicating that, by mid-September of 2020, there had been no evidence of a COVID crisis in Ukraine.
Ukraine (post-vaccine)
Even though Ukraine didn’t rollout vaccines until 18 Feb 2021, the accumulation of excess death after vaccines was almost 3 times more than it had been before vaccines rolled out.
That’s roughly the same time period: 12 months of “COVID only” before vaccine versus 12 months of “COVID + vaccine.” The evidence suggests that the combination of ‘COVID+vaccine’ is almost 3 times more deadly than ‘COVID’ alone.
Ukraine is the last of the 4 regions which saw “quadruple pandemic”-levels of excess death after vaccines rolled out, using the constant excess death standard of 670 excess deaths per million (as taken straight from the pandemic Asian Flu of 1957).
Observations
In the 23 regions covered by this report, common findings were:
— a dip in excess death in the months before COVID deaths were first reported
— deaths in the first 9 months of 2020 were either “normal” or “better than normal”
— many regions had little to no accumulation of excess death prior to vaccine rollout
— excess deaths after vaccine rollouts often dwarfed the excess death before
— a few places had post-vaxx excess death so high, it was akin to WWI death (3800/M)