Major error in this Substack. Correction coming soon.
If you stick to just nations with 30 million people or more, you end up with 47 of them, but together they represent 6.7 billion of all of the people in the world. When you average the estimated excess death per 100,000 using data from The Economist — by way of the OWID website — you can combine that with the vaccine uptake data from CNN’s Global Vaccine Tracker page to look for a relationship.
The overall scatterplot has a few entries which may be questionable though. For instance, Russia and Ukraine are at war, so it is expected that excess death would run higher there. Here are the excess death rates in daily excess death per million (DEDpM) against vaccine uptake levels, after COVID jabs rolled out:
The trend line slopes up, showing that COVID jabs did not lead to a reduction in excess death. The “vaccine uptake” (experimental COVID jab uptake) in Japan is over 300 jabs per 100 people. But let’s look at the change in the excess death, graphing the difference of “after-before” COVID jabs:
Caveat: A caveat is that all weeks of 2020 were used for comparison here, and future analyses will remove the early weeks in order to capture the COVID-effect more precisely.
Notice how it is that not one single nation had lower excess deaths after the jabs — no value in the entire chart dips below zero. When graphing the excess deaths prior to the jabs, the placemarks are the same. This means that the horizontal axis stands for the jab uptake which that nation will eventually be put through.
For perspective, the average daily excess death per million for all of 2018 in The Netherlands was added, so that you could tell if COVID was worse than a truly severe flu for these 6.7 billion people:
Of the largest 47 nations on planet Earth, only 1 saw excess death rates during COVID that exceeded what is arguably the worst recent excess death rate for flu. If the first several weeks of 2020 are eliminated from the averaging process though, many of these dots would be expected to rise up the chart at least by a little.
Major error in this Substack. Correction coming soon.
Reference
[average daily excess death during 2018 in the Netherlands was 1.5 per million; peak daily death was 9.9 per million] — van Asten L, Harmsen CN, Stoeldraijer L, Klinkenberg D, Teirlinck AC, de Lange MMA, Meijer A, van de Kassteele J, van Gageldonk-Lafeber AB, van den Hof S, van der Hoek W. Excess Deaths during Influenza and Coronavirus Disease and Infection-Fatality Rate for Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2, the Netherlands. Emerg Infect Dis. 2021 Feb;27(2):411-420. doi: 10.3201/eid2702.202999. Epub 2021 Jan 4. PMID: 33395381; PMCID: PMC7853586. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7853586/
Major error in this Substack. Correction coming soon.