Back-of-Envelope Evidence Against Vaccines
Monthly COVID deaths per Million vs. Expected Vaccine Deaths per Million
In The Defender, it was reported that 12,961 deaths have been reported to the VAERS system at a time when 581 million vaccine doses had been delivered.
That’s 22 death reports per million vaccine doses — which is 20 times higher than the 1.1 death reports per million doses which is seen for typical vaccines.
While the study has since been retracted, Kostoff et. al. reported that the best-case scenario capture rate of the VAERS system is that it captures 4.23% of the actual deaths which occur — which makes for an underreporting factor of 24.
When the 22 death reports are multiplied by 24, you get 528 actual deaths per million vaccine doses delivered. If everyone is getting two doses per year, the vaccine-induced death rate would be 1056 yearly deaths per million.
But in 110 regions of the world, COVID death rates never reached an annual rate of 100 yearly COVID deaths per million. In those 110 regions, vaccination campaigns would be expected to cause at least 11 times more death than COVID would cause.
If COVID deaths are only occurring at a rate of 96 yearly deaths per million, it doesn’t make sense to take a vaccine that causes 1056 yearly deaths per million.
Even if all “96 per million” deaths were prevented by the vaccine, you still end up causing a net 960 yearly deaths per million — just to try to save 96 per million in the process.
Real-world evidence in 110 regions of the world, back when COVID variants were more deadly than they are now, suggests that vaccines are expected to kill at least 10 people for every person they “save.”
Reference
[110 regions all below 100 yearly COVID deaths per million] — OurWorldInData. “Cumulative confirmed COVID-19 deaths per million people.” https://ourworldindata.org/covid-deaths
[Average rate of VAERS death reports over 11 years of observation was 1.1 deaths per million net doses distributed] — MMWR Surveill Summ. 2003 Jan 24;52(1):1-24. Surveillance for safety after immunization: Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS)--United States, 1991-2001. https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/ss5201a1.htm
[best-case capture rate of underlying deaths for VAERS is 4.23% of the actual deaths which occur] — Kostoff RN, Calina D, Kanduc D, Briggs MB, Vlachoyiannopoulos P, Svistunov AA, Tsatsakis A. Why are we vaccinating children against COVID-19? Toxicol Rep. 2021;8:1665-1684. doi: 10.1016/j.toxrep.2021.08.010. Epub 2021 Sep 14. Retraction in: Toxicol Rep. 2022 May 06;9:1065. Erratum in: Toxicol Rep. 2021;8:1981. PMID: 34540594; PMCID: PMC8437699. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8437699/