According to the official narrative, you are not up-to-date on COVID shots unless you’ve had one during the prior 6 months. The uptake rate over the prior 6 months would let you estimate the “coverage” — the proportion of people “protected” from COVID because of having had a shot in the prior 6 months.
Extremes in coverage can be examined and a research question may be something like this one:
What difference does it make if you have 32 times more coverage than other nations?
In July of 2022, Hong Kong had 32 times as much of their population up-to-date on COVID shots than Israel did:
In Hong Kong, just under 96% were fully up-to-date on COVID shots, but in Israel, just under 4% were. Stretching back over those 6 months prior, and stretching forward for another 6 months, you can compare the accumulation of excess death under these two conditions:
when 96% are up-to-date (Hong Kong)
when only 4% are up-to-date (Israel)
This graph shows the accumulation of excess deaths per million:
Israel, with only 4% of its population up-to-date, began with 901.29 accumulated excess deaths per million and ended at 1333.51 accumulated excess deaths — adding 432.22 excess deaths per million over those 12 months. That’s similar to the yearly accumulation of excess death from a bad season of flu.
Hong Kong, with 96% of its population up-to-date, began with 418.73 accumulated excess deaths per million. But Hong Kong ended up with 2273.53 accumulated excess deaths per million — adding 1854.8 excess deaths per million over those 12 months.
In other words, having 32 times as much of the population up-to-date led to experiencing 4 times (quadruple) the accumulation of excess death. Evaluation of extremes in coverage levels reveals that higher COVID shot uptake led to higher excess death.
Great example. There is an overall pattern, but it is complex but the deaths caused by the shots occur over years.