"Ever-Vaccinated" UK Teens had Higher Death Rate
Comparison to the "never-vaccinated" approaches statistical signficance
Among those in the UK of age 15 to 19, there were almost 2 million person-years of observation in the unvaccinated group, yielding 274 total deaths — which is a death rate of 145 yearly deaths per million.
Among those who had been “ever-vaccinated”, a total of 1.15 million person-years of observation yielded 185 deaths — which is a death rate of 161 yearly deaths per million.
A 90% (“exact binomial”) confidence interval around the death rate for the unvaccinated teens spanned from 131 to 161 yearly deaths per million, showing that the death rate in vaccinated teens (161) approaches statistical signficance.
The Excel formula to calculate the upper bound of the 90% confidence interval is given in the top bar, and refers to the value in row 2, column 9 of the spreadsheet.
When deaths are not only higher, but approaching statistical significance, then you have got what is referred to as a “safety signal” — a reason to shut-down a vaccine campaign.
Other vaccine campaigns have been shut down on less evidence than this.
Reference
“Table 6. Whole period counts of all cause deaths, deaths involving COVID-19 and deaths not involving COVID-19 … .” Age-standardised mortality rates for deaths by vaccination status, England: deaths occurring between 1 January 2021 and 31 March 2022: 16 May 2022. Age-standardised mortality rates for deaths involving COVID-19 by vaccination status, broken down by age group and sex. Deaths occurring between 1 January 2021 and 31 March 2022 in England. https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/datasets/deathsbyvaccinationstatusengland