As
recently reported about, COVID fatality in U.S. nursing homes rose whenever new COVID injections were given — which is consistent with the hypothesis that COVID jabs increase COVID death.I independently analyzed the data and come to the same conclusion: the temporal association of COVID jabs with fatality rates indicates that jabs cause net harm.
Here is the result:
The blue dots are weekly new COVID deaths divided by weekly new COVID infections (“cases”) one week prior, multiplied by 100 to give a fatality rate in the units of “deaths per 100 cases.” The blue line is the central estimate, and the gray dots are the upper bound of a 95% prediction interval.
With over 80% of long-term care residents jabbed by July 2021, COVID case fatality rates broke through the upper bound of the 95% prediction interval, remaining above that critical threshold for 3 weeks in a row.
The evidence suggests that having such a high majority (over 80%) of residents jabbed, actually led to an increase in COVID death.
Checking the Model Utility
Using the natural log of the case fatality rate on a one-week lag, I verified that the one-week lag and the exponential decay model (which were both used by Steve in his original analysis) were both statistically valid:
The horizontal axis of this graph shows the number of weeks into the pandemic, where Week 0 was the middle of March 2020. After going 140 weeks into the pandemic, it becomes clear that the exponential decay model is a good fit for case fatality in U.S. nursing homes.
When an exponential decay model fits data well, then it means that the natural log of the outcome declines over time in a linear fashion — such as is shown above — where the correlation coefficient, R, is about 0.906; making R-squared come out to about 0.82.
If a natural process has an R value that is that high, then the model is a good fit. Because death rates rose after jabs (after both primary series, and booster shots), a proper response is to pull the COVID jab from the market, at least until this can be sorted out.
Injections which lead to increased death rates, especially if from the very disease that the injections were purportedly protective against, should not be allowed to remain on the market.
Reference
[weekly cases and deaths in long-term care facilities] — CDC. Nursing Home Covid-19 Data Dashboard. https://www.cdc.gov/nhsn/covid19/ltc-report-overview.html