Vaccines officially rolled out in the USA on 11 Dec 2020. A troubling finding is that vaccines didn’t lower the already-unprecedented excess death which was found when there were no vaccines.
The top horizontal line in the graph above represents a 45% increase in expected mortality when using the baseline of mortality from 2015 to 2019 for projections. Before vaccines, there was a single week which reached that high.
However, after the vaccine rollout, there were 5 weeks which reached that high — including the week of 5 Sep 2021, after the Delta variant (less than half as lethal as Alpha variant) had become predominant.
Even if you discount the first 4 weeks of vaccine use which had 45% excess mortality, it is still the case that peak excess death didn’t drop after vaccine coverage expanded.
The horizontal red line represents the average annual excess mortality seen with World War I (22% per year, on average*). If you just look at area above that red line before vaccines and after — it shows that vaccines made things worse.
Much more area exists above the red line after vaccines rolled out.
By Jan of 2022, the predominant COVID variant in circulation was Omicron, a variant that is even less lethal than common, seasonal flu. Yet excess deaths after Omicron became dominant still remained above those levels seen with world war.
This indicates that something besides COVID is causing people to die at levels which exceed those found in world war. The prime suspect or culprit behind this excess death, also the biggest change made for the most people, is the use of vaccines.
It appears that vaccines are keeping the excess mortality so high in the US that they are even “worse than war.”
It is important that records be preserved during these times which we are going through — so that history can learn from what happened here, and from what is still happening here, even into 2022.
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*Excess mortality for World War I was estimated by using the crude death rate of the world in 1960 as a baseline, and counting every war death as an excess death. The 1960 world rate was used because that rate was a better estimate for the years closer to 1914 than an overall mean rate reported for nations over a longer time period (summary table by John R. Bowblis at Miami University in 2008; cited below).
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Reference
[16,543,185 died over 4.5 years of fighting, from nations whose sum total of population was 960 million] — World War I casualties. Available: https://www.census.gov/history/pdf/reperes112018.pdf
[Mean death rate across time and conditions prior to 1914 was 19.15 per 1000, but coming down over time] — The Decline in Infant and Overall Death Rates, 1878-
1913: The Role of Early Sickness Insurance Programs. Available: https://www.fsb.muohio.edu/fsb/ecopapers/docs/bowblijr-2008-04-paper.pdf
[The world crude death rate of 1960 — 17.712 per 1000 — is likely a reasonable estimate of pre-1914 death] — World Bank crude death rate. Available: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.DYN.CDRT.IN