When Hazell and Shakir systematically reviewed 43 estimates of under-reporting for adverse events in passive surveillance, they found a central estimate of a 94% under-reporting rate — or a 6% capture rate by the system of the underlying adverse events which had occurred.
That’s 17 actual events per report.
When the CDC looked at 11 years of VAERS reports for all vaccines combined, they estimated 1.9 billion net doses delivered and 2,142 total reports of deaths. That makes for a death reporting rate of 1.1 reports of death per million doses delivered.
If you apply the central estimate from Hazell and Shakir to that, you get 18.7 actual deaths per million doses delivered. But the VAERS reports of death for Moderna are much higher than 1.1 per million, and even higher than 18.7 per million. Here are the death reports out to March 2023:
That’s USA and US territories only, and it is more than triple the number of death reports from all vaccines combined for 11 years of data. Here are the number of Moderna doses administered in the USA by March 2023:
Dividing the 7,655 death reports into the 251.85 million doses reveals a death reporting rate of 30.4 per million doses — 27 times larger than the rate for all vaccines combined.
At a 6% capture rate, you multiply 30.4 by 17 to estimate the actual deaths per million doses:
517 deaths per million doses
At the estimated capture rate of 6% of underlying events, it’s essentially impossible that this higher death reporting rate for Moderna came simply from hypervigilance, along with no background increase in lethality.
Because the highest capture rate is about 72% (for paralyzing polio), there was only room for death reports to grow about 12-fold (from 6% up to 72%). But Moderna death reports are 27-fold higher.
Evidence suggests that Moderna shots kill you.
Reference
[MedAlerts VAERS database search tool] — MedAlerts. https://www.medalerts.org/vaersdb/index.php
[1.1 reports of death per million doses] — Surveillance for Safety After Immunization: Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS) --- United States, 1991--2001. https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/ss5201a1.htm
[The central estimate of adverse event (AE) capture rates from 43 estimates was 6%] — Hazell L, Shakir SA. Under-reporting of adverse drug reactions : a systematic review. Drug Saf. 2006;29(5):385-96. doi: 10.2165/00002018-200629050-00003. PMID: 16689555. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/16689555/
[72% is the theoretic maximum amount of capture in passive surveillance of vaccine-associated background events] — CDC. Reporting sensitivity of VAPP in VAERS. Surveillance for Safety After Immunization: Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS) --- United States, 1991--2001. https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/ss5201a1.htm