What Success would Look Like
A thought experiment where vaccines are hypothesized to be safe and effective
In a highly-vaccinated world which had been vaccinated with a vaccine that was both safe and effective, you could project the evolution of expected excess death.
If you take as true that the vaccine is both safe and effective, and you also take as true that vaccine coverage vastly expanded, then the expectation of excess death drops all of the way down to zero — but includes a range of uncertainty centered around “zero excess death.”
Here is how things would work out if the following two things were true:
1) vaccines are safe and effective
2) vaccine coverage vastly expands
The actual evolution of excess death doesn’t conform to the dual-notion that vaccines are safe and effective, and that vaccine coverage has vastly expanded. If it did, then the red line in the chart would track somewhere inside of the broad yellow area.
The expected excess death would not have dropped all of the way down to zero by 24 Feb 2021 — as the broad yellow area shows — but it would have dropped all of the way down to zero by Feb 2022, when there were 130 vaccine doses administered for every 100 persons living on planet Earth.
Not only did vaccine coverage vastly expand, but it expanded like it never had before, in the full history of human vaccination.
The excess death evidence after 24 Feb 2021 — much higher than any excess death ever found before vaccines — indicates that COVID vaccines are not safe and effective.
Even just examining time spent above a daily excess of 40,000 unexpected (excess) deaths per day can be put into perspective. When 40,000 extra people are dying each day, beyond expectations, the equivalent annualized rate of excess death is 14.6 million per year.
The entire 4.5 years of fighting in World War I led to 16.5 million excess deaths, for an annual average of about 3.5 million excess deaths per year — about one-fifth of the excess death seen after vaccines rolled out — though total population of the nations involved was only about 1 billion at the time.
Even still, when there is time spent above the ‘40,000-daily-excess-deaths’ line, it means that people are dying faster than they would during a worldwide war.