In this prior Substack, the yearly percentage change in the crude death rate for the USA was graphed, but a request came in for “p-scores” (the percentage excess death in a year, compared to a 5-year baseline).
Here is the first part of the fulfillment of that request:
A few things are noteworthy. One is that, regardless of whether or not we had pandemic flu (1957 & 1968), excess death in the USA never reached 2.5% prior to actions taken by government officials to regiment the provision of medical care.
Only after government had a large “say” over how medical care would be provided, with the Affordable Care Act, did the excess death ever cross 2.5%.
Another thing is that excess death never remained positive for 8-straight years before, until the government had achieved a large “say” over how medical care would be provided.
For the uncanny levels of excess death in 2020 and 2021, from a virus only nominally (not statistically) worse — or more virulent — than the 1957 Asian Flu, the average crude death rate from 2015-2019 was used in order to find the percentage excess.
Excellent! Thank you!