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Oct 9, 2023Liked by Deep Dive

Aren't you assuming that the placebo control group is similar to the overall population?

While I agree that if it was a well-designed study it should be it almost certainly isn't

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Toolste,

Thanks, that's a good criticism. I explore it more and possibly report back about that.

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Oct 9, 2023·edited Oct 9, 2023Author

Toolste,

I used a crude way to check the numbers: proportion elderly (age 65+)

While the enrolled placebo group had good representation of elderly (21% of sample, similar to France), the actual COVID cases show that the elderly were underrepresented somewhat (12% of cases, similar to Argentina).

Older people in the sample tended not to develop COVID.

Dualing interpretations might come from that, though, because the general sample appeared to represent the most-vulnerable group in relation to the general population.

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