In this previous Substack, I promised to provide some other evidence of excessive non-COVID excess death in the UK beyond just one narrow sex&age group. It dawned on me to have an objective standard for what “excessive excess death” is in the first place, so I made a case for what it is that amounts to excess death that, itself, is excessive in this Substack.
The spreadsheet for that first Substack will provide a visual, even though it’ll be hard to read — and even when enlarged:
[click image to enlarge]
The gold-highlighted cells — which represent almost half of all of the sex&age groups of all of the people who live in England & Wales — are the non-COVID excess death percentages for the month of June 2022 which had reached into the double-digits.
Because the standard deviation (average change from the mean) of monthly death is about 5%, that means that whenever you see an excess of monthly death that reaches 15%, then it ought to be considered excessive (requiring investigations to uncover the source).
Such amounts of monthly excess only very rarely happen by chance (e.g., a new disease breaks out and people die). You might see such excess two or three times in your entire lifetime — if the excess was the result of merely the play of chance.
Chance disease outbreaks don’t — “can’t” — explain the level of excess death which is occurring in England & Wales (and presumably elsewhere). But deliberative action has the ability to explain this level of excess death. History has many instances of such things.
Here is a noted copy of the screenshot above, to hammer the point home:
Reference
[see at the very bottom of Table 2a] — ONS. Excess deaths in England and Wales: March 2020 to June 2022. https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/articles/excessdeathsinenglandandwalesmarch2020tojune2022/2022-09-20
[weekly and monthly death counts for 313 weeks of observation] — Weekly Counts of Deaths by State and Select Causes, 2014-2019. https://data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Weekly-Counts-of-Deaths-by-State-and-Select-Causes/3yf8-kanr
[2016 UK guidelines still recommended a paltry 25 nmol/L of active vitamin D as sufficient] — Scientific Advisory Committee on Nutrition (SACN). 2016. Vitamin D and Health. https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/537616/SACN_Vitamin_D_and_Health_report.pdf
[Excess winter death in the UK (Table 2)] — Jones RP. Excess Winter Mortality (EWM) as a Dynamic Forensic Tool: Where, When, Which Conditions, Gender, Ethnicity and Age. Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2021 Feb 23;18(4):2161. doi: 10.3390/ijerph18042161. PMID: 33672133; PMCID: PMC7926905. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7926905/
[yearly death has a standard deviation of 1.7%] — Ruhm CJ. Excess deaths in the United States during the first year of COVID-19. Prev Med. 2022 Sep;162:107174. doi: 10.1016/j.ypmed.2022.107174. Epub 2022 Jul 22. PMID: 35878708; PMCID: PMC9304075. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9304075/