Fixed error in the UK "Zany Death" Substack
Apologies to random UK government officials, who I inadvertantly blamed for my error
In this Substack, I presented a graph with an error in it, and I tried to blame it all on random UK government officials. While I’m still mad that they misclassified a day as a year in their report — making their Excel file “unsearchable” by conventional means — my error is my own.
Note to the UK government hacks: Stop writing years followed by months, where 20-Dec represents Dec 2020 — because Excel will not let you convert those cells to proper format.
Here is the correct graph:
Note: It is STILL zany!
And here is the new, noted version:
A good explanation of why jabbed deaths rose with jab rates at first — while unjabbed deaths were falling — but then a “magical shift” occurred, so that jabbed deaths fell and unjabbed deaths rose, is that government officials discovered excess jabbed deaths, and began recording even more of the jabbed deaths as unjabbed deaths.
It entirely explains the complete switch in death rate changes which occurs during the background of a rising share who had been ever-jabbed.
Reference
[Share of age-groups which were jabbed over time] — Dataset. Coronavirus and vaccination rates in people aged 18 years and over by socio-demographic characteristic, region and local authority, England. https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/healthinequalities/datasets/coronavirusandvaccinationratesinpeopleaged18yearsandoverbysociodemographiccharacteristicandregionengland
[age-specific death rates from 2015] — OWID. https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/death-rate-by-age-group-in-england-and-wales
[adjusting average yearly death by a seasonal index, to get month-specific death rates] — Falagas ME, Karageorgopoulos DE, Moraitis LI, Vouloumanou EK, Roussos N, Peppas G, Rafailidis PI. Seasonality of mortality: the September phenomenon in Mediterranean countries. CMAJ. 2009 Oct 13;181(8):484-6. doi: 10.1503/cmaj.090694. Epub 2009 Sep 21. PMID: 19770237; PMCID: PMC2761439. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2761439/
[17-months of national death data in the UK: Jan 2021 to May 2022] — Office for National Statistics. Table 2. https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/datasets/deathsbyvaccinationstatusengland