In a recent Substack, I reported on how Denmark discovered a true Omicron IFR using blood donor data — indicating that even PCR tests do not pick up more than 7 of 10 Omicron infections which exist.
This dramatically lowers the estimates for the infection fatality rate (IFR) of Omicron, making it so that 12,000 Omicron infections are required in the non-elderly to even be able to produce one single death among the non-elderly.
In order to explain the reported COVID deaths among non-elderly in January and February, it requires that 146% of the non-elderly US population was infected with COVID in two months:
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Are we going to continue to believe COVID death reports, when they implied more than 100% infection spread within 60 days time?
Health officials were not privy to the new information showing that 30% of Omicron infections are not even picked up by PCR tests, so they felt free to report high COVID death numbers.
But the cat is out of the bag now:
You can’t, on average, get a COVID death among non-elderly people until you’ve infected 12,000 of them.
Worksheet
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Reference
[Kaiser report showing 34,000 non-elderly COVID deaths for Jan+Feb] — KFF. https://www.kff.org/coronavirus-covid-19/issue-brief/deaths-among-older-adults-due-to-covid-19-jumped-during-the-summer-of-2022-before-falling-somewhat-in-september/
[Denmark blood donor study showing that all previous Omicron IFR estimates were over-estimates] — Erikstrup C, Laksafoss AD, Gladov J, Kaspersen KA, Mikkelsen S, Hindhede L, Boldsen JK, Jørgensen SW, Ethelberg S, Holm DK, Bruun MT, Nissen J, Schwinn M, Brodersen T, Mikkelsen C, Sækmose SG, Sørensen E, Harritshøj LH, Aagaard B, Dinh KM, Busch MP, Jørgensen CS, Krause TG, Ullum H, Ostrowski SR, Espenhain L, Pedersen OBV. Seroprevalence and infection fatality rate of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant in Denmark: A nationwide serosurveillance study. Lancet Reg Health Eur. 2022 Oct;21:100479. doi: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2022.100479. Epub 2022 Aug 5. PMID: 35959415; PMCID: PMC9355516. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9355516/