Overall Excess Deaths in Finland Worse Now

Post #558

In a prior report, it was shown that, after COVID shots became available, every single age group in Norway got worse mortality results (compared to 2020). Here is similar analysis on Finland:

In Finland, it is clear that elderly mortality (bottom-left) is driving all-ages mortality (bottom-right), with age 75-84 excess death hitting 50% in the week of 18 Dec 2022, leading to overall excess death hitting 30% that week.

But the COVID variant in circulation at the time was Omicron, a variant that is even more mild than seasonal flu. Overall weekly rates with 30% excess death in them should not occur when the circulating virus is more mild than flu.

Because weekly death counts have a standard deviation of about 6.5%, weekly mortality values that are 30% above the mean are also 4.62 standard deviations above the mean.

Even if you don’t begin to count the excess until you have already risen above the mean by 1.96 standard deviations (a conservative practice), 30% excess is still exceedingly rare — it occurs less than 4 times in every 1,000 weeks (less than 4 times in every 19.2 years of observation time).

The evidence record shows that something which was introduced in mid-to-late 2021 in Finland is causing “excessive” excess death in Finland — a level of weekly excess death (30%) that is exceedingly rare.

Reference

[“excessive” excess deaths] —