It is hard to answer, Bill. You have to know the denominator (total shots given) at a given point in time. Before ICAN got the lot sizes by FOIA request, we were left estimating the denominator from published reports.
What I originally did:
I grabbed all Moderna lots with over 40 deaths in them and found 61 lots with high death. The lot sizes vary also, so my 61 lots are not necessarily the 61 worst lots for death.
When using those lots, all grabbed due to their death counts, the lowest of the 61 lots had a serious AER/M doses rate of 127, which gets doubled to 254 for a two-dose primary series.
The risk is offset by the profit potential.
You made me chuckle, R2T.
Great article, Deep Dive! What are the overall rates for Pfizer and Moderna in severe adverse events per million?
It is hard to answer, Bill. You have to know the denominator (total shots given) at a given point in time. Before ICAN got the lot sizes by FOIA request, we were left estimating the denominator from published reports.
What I originally did:
I grabbed all Moderna lots with over 40 deaths in them and found 61 lots with high death. The lot sizes vary also, so my 61 lots are not necessarily the 61 worst lots for death.
When using those lots, all grabbed due to their death counts, the lowest of the 61 lots had a serious AER/M doses rate of 127, which gets doubled to 254 for a two-dose primary series.
You rock! Thanks again!
Thank you so much!
I was not thinking in terms of lots but rather total doses sins of the product, figuring that might be a number featured in the annual report.
This post from last December [ https://deepd1ve.substack.com/p/shootout-moderna-shots-vs-flu-shots ] answers the question for Moderna, with 44,830 serious AERs and 251.85 million doses to Mar 2023 -- 44830/251.85 = 178 serious AER/M doses.